With both teams having put together successive wins of late, there should be a similar level of belief within both camps. For us, however, Stoke are more likely to respond to their disappointment in midweek, edging this contest courtesy of a strong first-half showing.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
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