SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 24.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Rotherham United |
50.02% ( -0.22) | 25.12% ( -0.02) | 24.86% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 51.33% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.71% ( 0.28) | 51.29% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.88% ( 0.24) | 73.12% ( -0.24) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.48% ( 0.02) | 20.52% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.98% ( 0.03) | 53.01% ( -0.03) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.58% ( 0.36) | 35.41% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.83% ( 0.38) | 72.17% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 1-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 50.01% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 1% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 2% Total : 24.86% |
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