With Coventry having performed far better at home this season than on their travels, they will back themselves to earn a result against Millwall. However, the visitors have found a way of churning out wins, and we feel that will continue in a tight fixture.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Coventry City in this match.
-0.01) 
0.01) 
