With Bristol City having avoided defeat since the back end of December, they are playing with enough belief to earn a positive result versus most teams in the second tier. However, we fancy a Sunderland side spurred on by their home support to edge this fixture by the odd goal in three.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 22.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
-0.37) 
0.14) 
