SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Norwich City |
33.26% ( -0.24) | 26.34% ( -0.02) | 40.4% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 52.62% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.98% ( 0.05) | 52.02% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.24% ( 0.04) | 73.75% ( -0.04) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.49% ( -0.13) | 29.51% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.47% ( -0.16) | 65.53% ( 0.16) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.65% ( 0.16) | 25.35% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.87% ( 0.22) | 60.13% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Norwich City |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.26% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 40.39% |
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