Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 42.06%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 28.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.56%) and 1-2 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 1-0 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Sheffield Wednesday	Draw	Derby County
28.42%	29.51%	42.06%

Both teams to score 41.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.31%

64.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.32%

83.67%

Sheffield Wednesday Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.21%

39.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.54%

76.46%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.53%

30.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.32%

66.67%

Score Analysis

Sheffield Wednesday 28.42%

Derby County 42.05%

Draw 29.5%

Sheffield Wednesday	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 6.12% 2-0 @ 5.15% 3-1 @ 1.88% 3-0 @ 1.58% 3-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.41% Total : 28.42%	1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 12.12% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.5%	0-1 @ 14.4% 0-2 @ 8.56% 1-2 @ 7.89% 0-3 @ 3.39% 1-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.01% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.3% Total : 42.05%