Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Derby County
44.13%	27.63%	28.23%

Both teams to score 46.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.36%

58.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.81%

79.19%

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.58%

26.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.41%

61.58%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.4%

36.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.62%

73.38%

Score Analysis

Blackburn Rovers 44.13%

Derby County 28.23%

Draw 27.63%

Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 12.86% 2-1 @ 8.61% 2-0 @ 8.56% 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-0 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.02% Total : 44.13%	1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.67% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.63%	0-1 @ 9.72% 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-2 @ 4.89% 1-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 1.86% Total : 28.23%