Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 20.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.04%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Norwich City in this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Norwich City
20.83%	26.92%	52.24%

Both teams to score 42.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.8%

61.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.86%

81.14%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.05%

44.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.11%

80.89%

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.32%

23.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.2%

57.8%

Score Analysis

Derby County 20.83%

Norwich City 52.24%

Draw 26.92%

Derby County	Draw	Norwich City
1-0 @ 8.51% 2-1 @ 4.9% 2-0 @ 3.4% 3-1 @ 1.31% 3-2 @ 0.94% 3-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.86% Total : 20.83%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.49% Total : 26.92%	0-1 @ 15.33% 0-2 @ 11.04% 1-2 @ 8.83% 0-3 @ 5.3% 1-3 @ 4.24% 0-4 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.7% 1-4 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.36% Total : 52.24%