SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Rotherham United |
62.37% ( 0.72) | 22.26% ( -0.31) | 15.37% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 45.3% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.25% ( 0.53) | 51.74% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.48% ( 0.46) | 73.51% ( -0.46) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.92% ( 0.43) | 16.07% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.54% ( 0.78) | 45.46% ( -0.77) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.98% ( -0.23) | 46.02% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.26% ( -0.18) | 81.74% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hull City | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 1-0 @ 13.52% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.88% Total : 62.36% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.64% Total : 22.25% | 0-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.31% Total : 15.37% |
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