Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Hull City	Draw	Derby County
41.77%	28.89%	29.35%

Both teams to score 43.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.57%

62.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.95%

82.05%

Hull City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.5%

29.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.48%

65.52%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.22%

37.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.45%

74.55%

Score Analysis

Hull City 41.76%

Derby County 29.35%

Draw 28.88%

Hull City	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 13.6% 2-0 @ 8.3% 2-1 @ 8.08% 3-0 @ 3.38% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.03% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 1.47% Total : 41.76%	1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 11.14% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.88%	0-1 @ 10.85% 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.69% Total : 29.35%