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FA Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 28, 2024 at 8pm UK
Anfield
SL

Liverpool
3 - 0
Southampton

Koumas (44'), Danns (73', 88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Manning (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Liverpool
Sunday, February 25 at 3pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Millwall
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.85%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.82%) and 1-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
LiverpoolDrawSouthampton
52.85% (-2.363 -2.36) 21.38% (0.78 0.78) 25.76% (1.579 1.58)
Both teams to score 65.06% (-1.128 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.37% (-2.217 -2.22)33.62% (2.211 2.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.56% (-2.57 -2.57)55.43% (2.563 2.56)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87% (-1.421 -1.42)12.99% (1.415 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.49% (-2.978 -2.98)39.5% (2.971 2.97)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)25.22% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.03% (-0.108 -0.11)59.96% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 52.85%
    Southampton 25.76%
    Draw 21.38%
LiverpoolDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.056 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.69% (0.411 0.41)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.32 -0.32)
3-0 @ 4.64% (-0.222 -0.22)
3-2 @ 4.4% (-0.231 -0.23)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.357 -0.36)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.254 -0.25)
4-2 @ 2.25% (-0.252 -0.25)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.23 -0.23)
4-3 @ 1.03% (-0.118 -0.12)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.164 -0.16)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 52.85%
1-1 @ 9.21% (0.547 0.55)
2-2 @ 6.47% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.28% (0.366 0.37)
3-3 @ 2.02% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 21.38%
1-2 @ 6.34% (0.365 0.37)
0-1 @ 4.51% (0.496 0.5)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.335 0.34)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.91% (0.162 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.151 0.15)
2-4 @ 1.02%
1-4 @ 1% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 25.76%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Liverpool
Sunday, February 25 at 3pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 4-1 Luton
Wednesday, February 21 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-4 Liverpool
Saturday, February 17 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Burnley
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-1 Liverpool
Sunday, February 4 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 4-1 Chelsea
Wednesday, January 31 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Millwall
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Hull City
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-2 Southampton
Friday, February 16 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 3-1 Southampton
Tuesday, February 13 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 5-3 Huddersfield
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-0 Watford
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in FA Cup


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