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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 28, 2025 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
BC

Leeds
4 - 0
Bristol City

Tanaka (21'), Gnonto (55'), Ramazani (82', 90+4')
Tanaka (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 6-0 Stoke
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 3-1 Bristol City
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-1 Bristol City

Since 2010, Leeds have racked up 15 wins in this head-to-head, with Bristol City winning just once - and that trend should continue on Monday. The Robins have won just four away games all season, so halting their free-flowing hosts will prove beyond them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 73.77%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 9.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.19%) and 3-0 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBristol City
73.77% (0.587 0.59) 16.97% (-0.098000000000003 -0.1) 9.26% (-0.484 -0.48)
Both teams to score 43.23% (-1.605 -1.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.85% (-1.065 -1.07)44.15% (1.07 1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.47% (-1.046 -1.05)66.53% (1.051 1.05)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.57% (-0.131 -0.13)10.43% (0.135 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.99% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)34.01% (0.306 0.31)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.27% (-1.717 -1.72)51.74% (1.723 1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.17% (-1.161 -1.16)85.83% (1.166 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 73.75%
    Bristol City 9.26%
    Draw 16.97%
Leeds UnitedDrawBristol City
2-0 @ 13.78% (0.48 0.48)
1-0 @ 12.19% (0.49 0.49)
3-0 @ 10.38% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-1 @ 6.85% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-0 @ 5.87% (0.138 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.87% (-0.102 -0.1)
5-0 @ 2.65% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.165 -0.17)
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.101 -0.1)
6-0 @ 1% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 73.75%
1-1 @ 8.04% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.247 0.25)
2-2 @ 2.99% (-0.2 -0.2)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 16.97%
0-1 @ 3.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.65% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-2 @ 1.17% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 9.26%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Leeds 6-0 Stoke
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Leeds
Friday, April 18 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Preston
Saturday, April 12 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Leeds
Tuesday, April 8 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-1 Leeds
Saturday, April 5 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-2 Swansea
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 3-1 Bristol City
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Sunderland
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 West Brom
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Watford
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Bristol City
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship


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