SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 20.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Middlesbrough win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
56.31% ( 0.14) | 23.12% ( 0.07) | 20.56% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 52.21% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.49% ( -0.57) | 47.51% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.28% ( -0.53) | 69.72% ( 0.53) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.33% ( -0.16) | 16.67% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.46% ( -0.28) | 46.54% ( 0.28) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.66% ( -0.54) | 37.34% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.87% ( -0.54) | 74.12% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.1% Total : 56.31% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.12% | 0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.64% Total : 20.56% |
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