SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Bristol City |
36.28% ( 0.52) | 25.9% ( -0.11) | 37.82% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 54.57% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.26% ( 0.51) | 49.74% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.25% ( 0.46) | 71.75% ( -0.46) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.44% ( 0.55) | 26.56% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.23% ( 0.72) | 61.77% ( -0.72) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% ( 0.01) | 25.69% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.39% ( 0.01) | 60.61% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.2% Total : 36.28% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.82% |
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