With Plymouth having been read the riot act by Rooney, an improved performance is anticipated at Ashton Gate. Nevertheless, Argyle's away record is abysmal, leading us to predict a comfortable home success for Bristol City.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 17.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.
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