SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 66.74%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 13.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Leicester City win it was 0-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Leicester City |
66.74% ( 0.37) | 19.3% ( 0.02) | 13.96% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 51.11% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.9% ( -0.96) | 42.1% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.49% ( -0.97) | 64.51% ( 0.97) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.29% ( -0.18) | 11.71% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.18% ( -0.38) | 36.82% ( 0.38) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.89% ( -1.16) | 42.11% ( 1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.47% ( -1.02) | 78.53% ( 1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.33) 1-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.37)2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.65% Total : 66.73% | 1-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.98% Total : 19.3% | 0-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.53% Total : 13.96% |
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