Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 24.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
