Although Blackburn have enjoyed a stronger start on the whole, they will be wounded from consecutive 3-0 league defeats while the Potters may experience a bounce after a change in manager, and we anticipate a share of the spoils as a result.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
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