With both teams low on confidence heading into this one, we expect a nervy and tense affair with the teams cancelling each other out and settling for a point apiece at the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.08) 
