Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 26.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-0 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
