Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
