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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
SW

Luton
2 - 1
Sheff Weds

Morris (75' pen., 88')
Burke (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bannan (52')
Bernard (67'), Ingelsson (71')
Bernard (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Luton
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday

Luton Town are yet to truly kick into gear on their return to the Championship, but with confidence from a first victory last time out, they should have the quality to get over the line at home to a Sheffield Wednesday side lacking a degree of confidence of their own. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Luton Town in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawSheffield Wednesday
40.39% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 24.99% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 34.62% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 57.51% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.14% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)45.85% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.83% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)68.17% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)22.6% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.79% (-0.12 -0.12)56.21% (0.119 0.12)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.7% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)60.61% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 40.39%
    Sheffield Wednesday 34.62%
    Draw 24.98%
Luton TownDrawSheffield Wednesday
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 40.39%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.98%
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.89% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.36% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.62%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Luton
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-2 QPR
Friday, August 30 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Luton (4-1 pen.)
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Preston 1-0 Luton
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Luton
Saturday, August 17 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-4 Burnley
Monday, August 12 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 0-1 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 QPR
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 3-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-5 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-2 Leeds
Friday, August 23 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 4-0 Sheff Weds
Sunday, August 18 at 12pm in Championship


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