SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Luton Town |
41.22% ( 0.28) | 26.32% ( 0.06) | 32.45% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 52.45% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.87% ( -0.35) | 52.13% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.15% ( -0.3) | 73.85% ( 0.3) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.04% ( -0.01) | 24.96% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.4% ( -0.01) | 59.6% ( 0.01) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% ( -0.4) | 30.1% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.76% ( -0.49) | 66.24% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Millwall | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 41.22% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.33% Total : 32.45% |
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