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ML
Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
SW

Millwall
3 - 0
Sheff Weds

Coburn (58'), Watmore (71'), Cooper (88')
Tanganga (43'), Esse (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bannan (61')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Millwall 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday

While Sheffield Wednesday do head into the weekend on the back of consecutive league defeats, conceding six goals across those without scoring, they should eye up Saturday's contest as a good opportunity to bounce back. After falling short against particularly tough opposition and showing their quality in a thrashing of Plymouth Argyle, we back Rohl's men to get the better of a Millwall side who are yet to kickstart their campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawSheffield Wednesday
38.05% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04) 27.14% (0.029 0.03) 34.82% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.39% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.01% (-0.113 -0.11)54.99% (0.114 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.74% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)76.26% (0.094000000000008 0.09)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)28.03% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32% (-0.1 -0.1)63.68% (0.101 0.1)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)29.99% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89% (-0.055 -0.05)66.11% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 38.05%
    Sheffield Wednesday 34.81%
    Draw 27.13%
MillwallDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 10.69% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.8%
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 38.05%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.41% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 10.12% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.1% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 34.81%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 4-3 Millwall
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-1 Millwall
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Millwall 2-3 Watford
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, August 3 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-5 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-2 Leeds
Friday, August 23 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 4-0 Sheff Weds
Sunday, August 18 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, August 14 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Sheff Weds 4-0 Plymouth
Sunday, August 11 at 4pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-0 Leganes
Saturday, August 3 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3


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