Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.79%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Luton Town
40.79%	30.38%	28.83%

Both teams to score 39.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.89%

67.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.66%

85.34%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.54%

32.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.02%

68.98%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.15%

40.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.58%

77.42%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 40.78%

Luton Town 28.83%

Draw 30.37%

Stoke City	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 14.91% 2-0 @ 8.39% 2-1 @ 7.52% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.73% Total : 40.78%	1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 13.25% 2-2 @ 3.37% Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.37%	0-1 @ 11.87% 1-2 @ 5.98% 0-2 @ 5.31% 1-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.29% Total : 28.83%