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ML
Championship | Gameweek 28
Feb 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
BL

Middlesbrough
1 - 4
Brentford

Raya (3' og.)
Saville (29')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Toney (38', 80'), Janelt (58'), Jensen (64')
Fosu (21'), Janelt (50')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 49.23%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 23.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Middlesbrough win it was 1-0 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBrentford
23.37%27.39%49.23%
Both teams to score 43.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.32%60.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.25%80.75%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.96%42.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.53%78.46%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16%24.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.57%59.42%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 23.37%
    Brentford 49.22%
    Draw 27.38%
MiddlesbroughDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 9.05%
2-1 @ 5.46%
2-0 @ 3.92%
3-1 @ 1.58%
3-0 @ 1.13%
3-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 23.37%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 10.43%
2-2 @ 3.8%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 14.54%
0-2 @ 10.12%
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-3 @ 4.7%
1-3 @ 4.08%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-4 @ 1.64%
1-4 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 49.22%

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