Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 14.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Bristol City |
64.22% ( 0.02) | 21.7% ( -0.02) | 14.08% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 43.95% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.1% ( 0.05) | 51.9% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.35% ( 0.04) | 73.65% ( -0.04) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.48% ( 0.02) | 15.52% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.57% ( 0.05) | 44.43% ( -0.05) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.02% ( 0.02) | 47.97% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.79% ( 0.01) | 83.21% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 13.87% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.92% 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.03% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.74% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 64.22% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.69% | 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.74% 0-2 @ 2.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.95% Total : 14.08% |
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