Despite their recent victory over Birmingham, Middlesbrough are yet to prove themselves on the road this season and with The Den being a tricky place to get a result from, a score draw appears to be on the cards here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
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