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Championship | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
ML

Bristol City
1 - 2
Millwall

Hutchinson (71' og.)
Klose (43'), Semenyo (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bradshaw (44'), Flemming (76')
Cooper (53'), Wallace (57'), McNamara (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Preston
Wednesday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Millwall

Bristol City's record suggests there should certainly be goals in Saturday's contest, and with home advantage and confidence from an Ashton Gate victory in midweek, we see them edging the three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawMillwall
41.63% (-0.139 -0.14) 27.15% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 31.21% (0.177 0.18)
Both teams to score 49.45% (0.186 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.23% (0.206 0.21)55.76% (-0.209 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.1% (0.167 0.17)76.89% (-0.17 -0.17)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59% (0.018999999999991 0.02)26.4% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.43% (0.027999999999999 0.03)61.56% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.19% (0.23400000000001 0.23)32.8% (-0.237 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.63% (0.26 0.26)69.36% (-0.26299999999999 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 41.63%
    Millwall 31.21%
    Draw 27.14%
Bristol CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 41.63%
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.66% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 9.65% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.38% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 31.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Preston
Wednesday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 3-0 Bristol City
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-0 Coventry
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-2 QPR
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Bristol City
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-2 Bristol City
Wednesday, September 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-1 Millwall
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 Millwall
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-2 QPR
Wednesday, September 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Championship


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