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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
BL

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Birmingham

Rogers (88')
Crooks (26'), Engel (30'), Hackney (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bielik (40'), Ruddy (45+4'), Longelo (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 3-1 West Brom
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Birmingham City

Middlesbrough will be hoping their positive momentum can be carried over from before the international break, and Carrick's men should be confident of recording a sixth straight win in all competitions. Armed with a new manager and fresh ideas, Birmingham's performance at the Riverside Stadium will be under intense scrutiny, and we believe that Rooney will earn a respectable point from his first match in charge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBirmingham City
54.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 23.53% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 22.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.64% (0.014000000000003 0.01)47.35% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.42% (0.015000000000001 0.02)69.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)17.32% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.3% (0.012999999999998 0.01)47.69% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)35.71% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51% (0.0040000000000013 0)72.48% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 54.33%
    Birmingham City 22.13%
    Draw 23.52%
MiddlesbroughDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.79%
2-0 @ 9.51% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 54.33%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.37% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 5.75%
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 22.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sunderland 0-4 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Cardiff
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bradford 0-2 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 Southampton
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 3-1 West Brom
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 4-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Birmingham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 QPR
Friday, September 22 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-0 Birmingham
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship


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