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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
ML

Norwich
1 - 2
Middlesbrough

Rowe (90+9')
Sara (76'), Rowe (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Greenwood (46'), Silvera (90+2')
Hackney (89'), Dieng (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 2-3 Leeds
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-2 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough are flying at the moment, and they will be aiming to record a third straight win over Norwich in Tuesday's contest. Boro won 2-1 at Carrow Road in the corresponding match last season, and we can see the same scoreline occurring in this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
35.56% (0.226 0.23) 24.94% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 39.49% (-0.259 -0.26)
Both teams to score 57.82% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.47% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)45.52% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.15% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)67.85% (0.085000000000008 0.09)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.081999999999994 0.08)24.99% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (0.116 0.12)59.65% (-0.124 -0.12)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)22.9% (0.167 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.34% (-0.253 -0.25)56.66% (0.245 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 35.56%
    Middlesbrough 39.49%
    Draw 24.94%
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.94% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.56%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.94%
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.22% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 39.49%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Norwich 2-3 Leeds
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Norwich
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Birmingham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Norwich
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Plymouth 6-2 Norwich
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Birmingham
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-4 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Cardiff
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bradford 0-2 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 Southampton
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship


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