SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
29.64% ( -0.07) | 24.33% ( 0) | 46.03% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.72% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.32% ( -0.03) | 44.69% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.95% ( -0.03) | 67.05% ( 0.03) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.74% ( -0.06) | 28.26% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.03% ( -0.07) | 63.97% ( 0.08) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.46% ( 0.02) | 19.55% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.55% ( 0.02) | 51.45% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.98% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 29.64% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.33% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.63% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.08% Total : 46.03% |
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