SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 21.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Exeter City win it was 2-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
21.63% ( 0.03) | 21.74% ( 0.01) | 56.63% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.43% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.97% ( -0.03) | 40.02% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.61% ( -0.03) | 62.39% ( 0.03) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% ( 0.01) | 32.06% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.46% ( 0.01) | 68.53% ( -0.01) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.01% ( -0.02) | 13.99% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.49% ( -0.04) | 41.5% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.9% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 21.63% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.74% | 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.68% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.47% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.69% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.68% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.18% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.81% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.25% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 56.63% |
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