SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Middlesbrough |
38.53% ( -0.74) | 25.81% ( 0.16) | 35.65% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 54.8% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.58% ( -0.66) | 49.41% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.54% ( -0.6) | 71.46% ( 0.6) |
| West Bromwich Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% ( -0.7) | 25.15% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.12% ( -0.97) | 59.87% ( 0.97) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.22% ( 0.02) | 26.77% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.94% ( 0.03) | 62.06% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.53% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 35.65% |
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