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ML
Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 17, 2021 at 7pm UK
The Den
BL

Millwall
2 - 0
Birmingham

Wallace (3'), Thompson (75')
Romeo (78'), Woods (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Harper (53'), Jutkiewicz (70')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 2-1 (7.39%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (12.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawBirmingham City
37.89%30.05%32.05%
Both teams to score 41.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.52%65.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.78%84.22%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.62%33.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.99%70%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.61%37.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.83%74.17%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 37.89%
    Birmingham City 32.05%
    Draw 30.04%
MillwallDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 13.69%
2-0 @ 7.51%
2-1 @ 7.39%
3-0 @ 2.75%
3-1 @ 2.7%
3-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 37.89%
1-1 @ 13.47%
0-0 @ 12.47%
2-2 @ 3.64%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 30.04%
0-1 @ 12.27%
1-2 @ 6.63%
0-2 @ 6.04%
1-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 32.05%

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