Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 2-1 (7.39%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (12.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.