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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
CC

Blackburn
1 - 0
Cardiff

Rankin-Costello (53')
Dolan (33'), Hyam (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Collins (68')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Watford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-2 Cardiff City

Despite the difference in league positions, there is an argument that the momentum is with Blackburn heading into this encounter. Nevertheless, Cardiff needed the international break after appearing to run out of steam, and we are backing the Bluebirds to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawCardiff City
50.14% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 24.33% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 25.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 54.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)47.51% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)69.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.02% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)18.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.48% (0.010000000000005 0.01)50.52% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.8% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.63% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.37% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 50.14%
    Cardiff City 25.53%
    Draw 24.33%
Blackburn RoversDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.76%
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 50.14%
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 6.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.43%
0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 25.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: QPR 0-4 Blackburn
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-0 Blackburn
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-4 Leicester
Sunday, October 1 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 5-2 Cardiff
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Ipswich 4-3 Blackburn
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-3 Sunderland
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Watford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Cardiff
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-0 Rotherham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 5-2 Cardiff
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Cardiff
Sunday, September 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 3-2 Coventry
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in Championship


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