SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Swansea City |
39.44% ( 0.18) | 27.04% ( -0.03) | 33.52% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 50.47% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.21% ( 0.09) | 54.78% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.9% ( 0.07) | 76.09% ( -0.08) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% ( 0.14) | 27.14% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.46% ( 0.18) | 62.53% ( -0.19) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.27% ( -0.06) | 30.73% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.02% ( -0.06) | 66.98% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Millwall | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.44% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.09% Total : 33.52% |
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