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Championship | Gameweek 21
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
ML

Preston
2 - 4
Millwall

Hughes (20'), Evans (28')
Lindsay (14')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Flemming (4', 16', 64'), Cresswell (72')
Saville (19'), Long (21'), McNamara (31')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 1-2 Preston
Friday, November 4 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-0 Hull City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 1-0 Millwall

This game is an opportunity for two sides that were not fancied for promotion pushes this season to head into the World Cup break inside the top six of the Championship. Preston have been in good form of late and considering the Lilywhites' defensive record, it could be three points and a clean sheet for the hosts against a Millwall side who struggle to pose an attacking threat on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawMillwall
39.27% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 28.77% (0.012 0.01) 31.95% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)
Both teams to score 45.05% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.6% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)61.39% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.71% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)81.29% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56% (0.018999999999991 0.02)30.43% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.36% (0.024999999999999 0.02)66.64% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.76% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)35.23% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (-0.109 -0.11)71.99% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 39.26%
    Millwall 31.94%
    Draw 28.76%
Preston North EndDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.75% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 39.26%
1-1 @ 13.3%
0-0 @ 10.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.76%
0-1 @ 11.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 31.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Reading 1-2 Preston
Friday, November 4 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-0 Swansea
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 4-2 Preston
Saturday, October 22 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 0-1 Preston
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 0-2 Stoke
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-0 Hull City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Millwall
Wednesday, November 2 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-1 West Brom
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 3-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 19 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-2 Millwall
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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