Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
