SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Preston North End | 46 | -4 | 64 |
| 14 | Stoke City | 46 | 5 | 62 |
| 15 | Swansea City | 46 | -10 | 61 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Blackburn Rovers | 46 | 9 | 69 |
| 9 | Millwall | 46 | 8 | 69 |
| 10 | West Bromwich Albion | 46 | 7 | 67 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
| 50.47% | 26.54% | 23% |
| Both teams to score 45.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.91% | 58.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.24% | 78.76% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% | 23.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.99% | 57% |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.08% | 40.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.51% | 77.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 13.85% 2-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 9.06% 3-0 @ 4.95% 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.63% Total : 50.46% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 8.46% 1-2 @ 5.53% 0-2 @ 3.78% 1-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.21% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.24% Total : 23% |
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