Given the difference in quality and form between the two sides, it is difficult to envisage the Sky Blues leaving Carrow Road with a positive result on Saturday. The Canaries have quickly built momentum and found ways to win in their last two tight affairs, but we would not be surprised to see a slightly more comfortable victory on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Coventry City
40.7% ( 0.84)	24.9% ( -0.76)	34.4% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 57.77% (

2.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.5% (

3.4)

45.5% (

-3.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.17% (

3.16)

67.83% (

-3.16)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.71% (

1.92)

22.29% (

-1.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.25% (

2.8)

55.75% (

-2.8)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.34% (

1.58)

25.66% (

-1.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.44% (

2.1)

60.56% (

-2.1)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 40.7%

Coventry City 34.4%

Draw 24.89%

Norwich City	Draw	Coventry City
2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.77) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.35% Total : 40.7%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.87) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.89%	1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.8) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.27) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.4%