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Championship | Gameweek 5
Aug 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Carrow Road
ML

Norwich
2 - 0
Millwall

Sargent (50', 75')
Gibbs (84'), Krul (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Saville (19'), Honeyman (66')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Millwall

Tuesday's win could trigger a hot run of form for Norwich, and they have the quality to hurt any side in the league, but we anticipate a tough test against a resilient Millwall outfit. Rowett's men have shown their steel so far this season and could do enough to leave Carrow Road with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawMillwall
45.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 26.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 28.4% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.84% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.39% (0.023000000000003 0.02)54.61% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.05% (0.018999999999998 0.02)75.95% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)24.15% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)58.47% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.71% (0.021000000000001 0.02)34.29% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.01% (0.021000000000001 0.02)70.99% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 45.04%
    Millwall 28.4%
    Draw 26.55%
Norwich CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 45.04%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 8.28% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 28.4%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-2 Birmingham (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, August 6 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Norwich
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hibernian 1-0 Norwich
Sunday, July 24 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Swansea 2-2 Millwall
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 3-2 Coventry
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Millwall
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 Millwall
Tuesday, August 2 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Ipswich
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1


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