SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 56.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Hull City |
56.32% ( -1.07) | 23.25% ( 0.32) | 20.44% ( 0.74) |
| Both teams to score 51.62% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.8% ( -0.38) | 48.2% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.64% ( -0.35) | 70.36% ( 0.35) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.08% ( -0.51) | 16.92% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.02% ( -0.91) | 46.98% ( 0.91) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.13% ( 0.56) | 37.87% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.35% ( 0.54) | 74.65% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Hull City |
| 1-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.01% Total : 56.31% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.25% | 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.57% Total : 20.44% |
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