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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
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Swansea
2 - 2
Millwall

Manning (1'), Obafemi (12')
Manning (73'), Obafemi (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cabango (90+3' og.), Wood (90+5' og.)
Burey (39'), Mitchell (42'), Malone (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Swansea City 3-1 Millwall

Swansea and Millwall head into the game off the back of impressive victories and will both be looking to pick up where they dropped off. However, it is worth noting that the Swans are unbeaten in nine of their last 10 games against the Lions. With that said, we are backing Swansea City to extend this fine record in front of their home fans and come away with a decisive victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
38.3% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 27.37% (0.004999999999999 0) 34.33% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.61% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.06% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)55.94% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.96% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)77.04% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)28.34% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.93% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)64.07% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.23% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)30.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.96% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)67.04% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 38.29%
    Millwall 34.33%
    Draw 27.36%
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.99%
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 38.29%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 8.72% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 6.06% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 34.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Blackpool 0-1 Swansea
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-2 Swansea (5-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Swansea 0-3 Blackburn
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-1 Swansea
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Swansea 3-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, July 16 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Millwall 3-2 Coventry
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Millwall
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 Millwall
Tuesday, August 2 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Ipswich
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Millwall
Friday, July 15 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1


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