Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 36.13%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
