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RL
Championship | Gameweek 16
Dec 5, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
Madejski Stadium
NF

Reading
2 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Joao (16' pen.), Morrison (53')
Richards (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cafu (90+1')
Yates (15')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawNottingham Forest
40.23%29.09%30.67%
Both teams to score 43.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.26%62.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.72%82.27%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46%30.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.24%66.76%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.08%36.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.3%73.7%
Score Analysis
    Reading 40.23%
    Nottingham Forest 30.67%
    Draw 29.09%
ReadingDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 13.37%
2-0 @ 7.93%
2-1 @ 7.9%
3-0 @ 3.14%
3-1 @ 3.13%
3-2 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 0.93%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 40.23%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 11.27%
2-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.09%
0-1 @ 11.23%
1-2 @ 6.64%
0-2 @ 5.6%
1-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 30.67%

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