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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 51.64%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 23.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
51.64% ( -0.17) | 25.04% ( 0.24) | 23.32% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.96% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.7% ( -0.99) | 52.29% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.01% ( -0.86) | 73.99% ( 0.86) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.75% ( -0.46) | 20.24% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.42% ( -0.74) | 52.58% ( 0.74) |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.65% ( -0.61) | 37.35% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.86% ( -0.61) | 74.13% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
| 1-0 @ 12.07% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.67% Total : 51.64% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.68% Total : 23.32% |
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