SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 18.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Luton Town |
58.5% ( 0.04) | 23.23% ( 0.04) | 18.27% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 48.15% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.99% ( -0.27) | 51.01% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.12% ( -0.24) | 72.88% ( 0.24) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.85% ( -0.08) | 17.15% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.6% ( -0.15) | 47.4% ( 0.15) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.12% ( -0.25) | 41.88% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.67% ( -0.22) | 78.34% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 58.49% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.23% | 0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.89% Total : 18.27% |
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