SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Portsmouth |
37.41% ( -0.02) | 24.01% ( -0) | 38.58% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.44% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.09% ( 0.02) | 40.91% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.7% ( 0.02) | 63.3% ( -0.02) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.09% ( -0) | 21.91% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.83% ( -0) | 55.17% ( 0.01) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.67% ( 0.03) | 21.33% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.72% ( 0.04) | 54.29% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.41% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.01% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 38.58% |
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