Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Preston North End |
36.76% ( -0.01) | 24.99% ( 0.01) | 38.24% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 57.77% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.36% ( -0.04) | 45.63% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.04% ( -0.04) | 67.96% ( 0.04) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.61% ( -0.03) | 24.38% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.2% ( -0.04) | 58.8% ( 0.04) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.4% ( -0.02) | 23.59% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.33% ( -0.03) | 57.67% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Preston North End |
2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 36.76% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.99% | 1-2 @ 8.47% 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.04% 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 38.24% |
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